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美國中期選舉如何影響美中關係的未來？
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香港 – 2018年10月31日新聞稿：

美國中期選舉如何影響美中關係的未來？

現狀

眾議院（435個席位）：任期2年

  • 民主黨人193席
  • 共和黨人235席
  • 空缺7席

所有席位都可供選舉

參議院（100個席位）任期6年

  • 民主黨人47席
  • 共和黨人51席
  • 獨立人士2席

35個席位可供選舉

模擬分析

如果民主黨同時贏得了眾議院和參議院

  • 代表了過去兩年特朗普的政策完全不受歡迎。
  • 特朗普連任的機會將會減低。
  • 特朗普在貿易爭端中對中國施加的壓力將會減輕。
  • 范士丹 (Dianne Feinstein) 將成為參議院內反特朗普勢力的領導者。

如果民主黨贏得了眾議院，但失去了參議院

  • 代表了特朗普外交政策獲得認許，但他在國內的措施依然備受爭議。
  • 這可能不會影響特朗普重新當選的機會，但仍要面對不少困難。
  • 特朗普在貿易爭端中將繼續對中國施以壓力，但不會加大力道。
  • 計劃中的個人稅制改革將較預期溫和。

如果民主黨同時失去眾議院和參議院的議席

  • 代表了特朗普的國內、外政策獲得全面的認許。
  • 特朗普將毫無疑問地成功連任。
  • 特朗普將會加強向中國施加各方面 (包括軍事衝突在內) 的壓力。
  • 美國的個人稅制將會在本任期或第二任期内發生重大變化。

模擬預測

  • 共和黨人將同時贏得眾議院和參議院。
  • 加劇國內自由派和保守派之間的衝突。
  • 特朗普將逐步拉攏俄羅斯以抗衡中國，這是一種 “分而治之” 逐個擊破的戰略。

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想知得更多c123應用程式如何令所有會議都更有效率及更方便：

徐助雄 Harry Tsui
Director, P & L Software

25213110
htsui@plsoft.com

有關產品的更多信息：
網站：www.plsoft.com（計盈軟件)

 
October 31, 2018
Press Release:

How does the mid-term election affect the future of the US-China relationship?
Try one day as an American, c123 to Vote!
Hong Kong — The November 6, 2018 Press Release:

How does the mid-term election affect the future of the US-China relationship?
Present Situation
The House of Representatives (435 Seats): 2 years term Democrats 193
Republicans 235
Vacant 7
All seats are up for election

The Senate (100 Seats) with 6 years term Democrats 47
Republicans 51
Independents 2
35 seats are up for election
Analysis
Democrats win both the House and the Senate

  • It represents the complete refusal of Trump’s policies for the past 2 years.
  • It will reduce Trump’s chance for a second term in office.
  • Trump will release the pressure on China on trade dispute.
  • Dianne Feinstein will be the leader in the Senate against Trump.

Democrats wins the House but loss the Senate

  • It represents the approval of Trump’s foreign policies but not his domestic actions.
  • It may not affect Trump’s chance for re-election but still difficult.
  • Trump will keep on the pressure on China on trade dispute but not to increase it.
  • The planning tax reform for individuals will be more modest.

Democrats loss the House and the Senate

  • It represents the complete approval of Trump’s foreign and domestic policies.
  • There is no question for Trump’s second term success.
  • Trump will increase the pressure on China on all fronts, trade and military conflicts.
  • A big change to the US individual tax system, either in this term or the second term.

Prediction

  • The Republicans will win both the House and the Senate.
  • Increase domestic violence between liberals and conservatives.
  • Trump will move closer to Russia against China.as a “divide and control” strategy.

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  • Download c123 mobile app from Google Play or Apple Store.
  • Register with your Email Address and your Password or just use “View Only”
  • Read the California Campaign Materials and to vote like a US citizen.
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For more information:
Harry Tsui, contributing writer for Hong Kong Economic Journal 1992 – 1998
25213110
htsui@plsoft.com
For more information on Product:
Website: www.plsoft.com (Corporate)
P & L Software Publishing Limited